Effects of the United States unemployment rate on irregular migration flows
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.29105/vtga11.2-1036Keywords:
unemployment, international migration, irregular migration, Ordinary Least Squares.Abstract
International migration is a dynamic phenomenon associated with various causes. The objective of this research is to contribute to the understanding of the phenomenon of international migration, based on the economic conditions of the receiving country. It is based on the hypothesis that irregular immigration flows from Latin American countries to the United States of America (USA) depend on the level of the unemployment rate of the receiving country. To do this, an Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) model was estimated for the period between the first quarter of 2007 and the second quarter of 2023. The main results prescribe that there is a negative and significant effect of past unemployment in the United States. on irregular migration flows. The above has policy implications for the receiving country (United States), the transit country (Mexico) and the countries of origin (Latin American countries).
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